Subnational Guidelines for Identifying and Assessing Climate-Related Risks and Vulnerabilities in Tajikistan

UNDP: 2025

Adapt40, in partnership with the UNDP, developed a set of practical subnational guidelines to help Tajikistan systematically identify and assess climate‑related risks and vulnerabilities. The Republic of Tajikistan ranks among the most climate‑vulnerable countries in Europe and Central Asia, facing growing risks from floods, landslides, droughts, and glacial melt that threaten people, infrastructure, and key economic sectors. Climate change risk and vulnerability assessments are a critical analytical step for understanding and highlighting vulnerabilities and risks that require urgent attention, and these guidelines aim to strengthen Tajikistan’s adaptation planning, ultimately directing limited resources to where they are needed most.​

This work falls under Tajikistan’s National Adaptation Plan (NAP) process, supporting a coordinated national approach that links community‑level insights with higher‑level planning and investment decisions. Adapt40 designed clear, user‑friendly guidelines that can be applied by both technical experts and non‑specialists across all sectors and levels of government, embedding local and traditional knowledge alongside quantitative data to capture community experience and anecdotal evidence that is often overlooked in formal assessments.

Adapt40 developed a tailored, five‑step assessment process that begins with defining the system and processes under review and mapping their exposure and sensitivity to climate hazards. The process, with an accompanying template, culminates in an integrated assessment of climate risks and vulnerabilities and a prioritisation of potential impacts, providing a practical basis for adaptation planning and project development across Tajikistan.